UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 1, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Ireland vs Austria prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Ireland vs Austria kicks off on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Austria start as favourites with a 51% chance of victory; Ireland are given 23% and the draw 26%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (13.0%), followed by 1-1 (12.1%) and 0-2 (10.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Ireland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Austria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Ireland score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Austria score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Ireland sit 3rd with 0 points from 1 games, Austria 1st with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ireland and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ireland or draw" stands at 49%, "Austria or draw" at 77% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Austria are tipped by our AI model in this Ireland v Austria (51%). On recent form, Ireland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Austria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ireland – Austria. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ireland 0-1 Austria | 13.0% |
| Ireland 1-1 Austria | 12.1% |
| Ireland 0-2 Austria | 10.0% |
| Ireland 1-2 Austria | 9.3% |
| Ireland 0-0 Austria | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.93 expected goals for Ireland and 1.54 for Austria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 45% and "both teams to score" at 48%. Ireland keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Austria in 40%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ireland expected goals | 0.93 |
| Austria expected goals | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Ireland clean sheet | 21% |
| Austria clean sheet | 40% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Ireland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Kosovo · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Canada · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 28, 2026 | Qatar · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| May 16, 2026 | Grenada · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | North Macedonia · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Austria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Israel · UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Spain · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 3-3 | D |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Jordan · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ireland | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Austria | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ireland and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Ireland
No absences reported.
Austria
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Ireland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Ogbene5/5
- J. Molumby4/5
- T. Parrott4/5
- C. Kelleher3/5
- D. O'Shea3/5
- J. Abankwah3/5
- J. Knight3/5
- L. Scales3/5
- N. Collins3/5
- S. Coleman3/5
- C. Coventry2/5
Austria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Schlager5/5
- N. Seiwald5/5
- R. Schmid5/5
- S. Posch5/5
- X. Schlager5/5
- D. Alaba4/5
- K. Laimer4/5
- M. Sabitzer4/5
- K. Danso3/5
- M. Gregoritsch3/5
- P. Lienhart3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Denmark – PortugalOct 1, 2026
- Malta – GibraltarOct 1, 2026
- Israel – KosovoOct 1, 2026
- Greece – NetherlandsOct 1, 2026
- Germany – SerbiaOct 1, 2026
- Wales – NorwayOct 1, 2026
- Kazakhstan – MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus – ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia – MontenegroOct 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ireland vs Austria prediction?
Our AI gives Ireland a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Austria 51%. Austria are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Ireland vs Austria?
0-1 (13.0%), followed by 1-1 (12.1%), 0-2 (10.0%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-0 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Ireland vs Austria?
The probability that both Ireland and Austria score is 48%. Ireland have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Austria 40%.
How many goals should we expect in Ireland vs Austria?
The model expects 2.47 goals (0.93 for Ireland, 1.54 for Austria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 45%, over 3.5 goals 24%.
When and where is Ireland vs Austria played?
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Ireland and Austria in?
Ireland: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Austria: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).
How is the Ireland vs Austria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.93 for Ireland, 1.54 for Austria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ireland predictions
- All Austria predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology