UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 1, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Ireland vs Austria: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Ireland 2-2 Austria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Austria (44%), while a draw was rated at only 29%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.7%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): missed.
Match analysis
Ireland and Austria met on Thursday, October 1, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Aviva Stadium, Dublin. Before kick-off, our model gave Ireland a 27% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Austria 44%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (14.6%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (11.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Ireland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Austria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Ireland therefore arrive in far better shape than Austria. On average Ireland score 2.00 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Austria score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Ireland sit 3rd with 3 points from 2 games, Austria 1st with 6 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Ireland, 0 for Austria and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ireland 1-1 Austria (Jun 11, 2017). In double chance terms, "Ireland or draw" stands at 56%, "Austria or draw" at 73% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Austria are tipped by our AI model in this Ireland v Austria (44%). On recent form, Ireland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Austria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Ireland – Austria. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ireland 0-1 Austria | 14.6% |
| Ireland 1-1 Austria | 13.1% |
| Ireland 0-0 Austria | 11.8% |
| Ireland 1-0 Austria | 10.6% |
| Ireland 0-2 Austria | 9.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.90 expected goals for Ireland and 1.24 for Austria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 36% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. Ireland keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Austria in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Ireland expected goals | 0.90 |
| Austria expected goals | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Ireland clean sheet | 29% |
| Austria clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Ireland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Israel · UEFA Nations League | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Kosovo · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Canada · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| May 28, 2026 | Qatar · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| May 16, 2026 | Grenada · International Friendlies | 5-0 | W |
Austria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kosovo · UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Israel · UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Spain · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 3-3 | D |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ireland | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Austria | 1 | 6 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2017 | Ireland 1-1 Austria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Austria 0-1 Ireland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Out and doubtful
Ireland
No absences reported.
Austria
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Ireland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Ogbene4/5
- J. Abankwah4/5
- J. Molumby4/5
- T. Parrott4/5
- C. Coventry3/5
- C. Kelleher3/5
- J. Moylan3/5
- A. Idah2/5
- D. O'Shea2/5
- D. O'Shea2/5
- J. Knight2/5
Austria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- N. Seiwald5/5
- R. Schmid5/5
- X. Schlager5/5
- A. Schlager4/5
- K. Danso4/5
- S. Posch4/5
- D. Alaba3/5
- K. Laimer3/5
- M. Gregoritsch3/5
- M. Sabitzer3/5
- P. Wanner3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Azerbaijan 0-0 LiechtensteinOct 1, 2026
- Denmark 2-4 PortugalOct 1, 2026
- Malta 1-1 GibraltarOct 1, 2026
- Israel 0-0 KosovoOct 1, 2026
- Greece 2-2 NetherlandsOct 1, 2026
- Germany 2-0 SerbiaOct 1, 2026
- Wales 2-1 NorwayOct 1, 2026
- Kazakhstan 1-2 MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus 2-0 ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia 1-2 MontenegroOct 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Ireland vs Austria prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Ireland a 27% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Austria 44%. Austria are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Ireland vs Austria?
0-1 (14.6%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (11.8%), 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-2 (9.0%).
Will both teams score in Ireland vs Austria?
The probability that both Ireland and Austria score is 42%. Ireland have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Austria 41%.
How many goals should we expect in Ireland vs Austria?
The model expects 2.14 goals (0.90 for Ireland, 1.24 for Austria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.
When and where is Ireland vs Austria played?
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Aviva Stadium, Dublin.
What form are Ireland and Austria in?
Ireland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 2 conceded). Austria: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Ireland and Austria?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Ireland, 0 for Austria and 1 draw. The most recent ended Ireland 1-1 Austria (Jun 11, 2017).
What was the Ireland vs Austria result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Ireland 2-2 Austria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Austria (44%), while a draw was rated at only 29%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.7%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): missed.
How is the Ireland vs Austria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.90 for Ireland, 1.24 for Austria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Ireland predictions
- All Austria predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology