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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Cyprus vs Armenia: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

CyprusCyprus2 – 0ArmeniaArmenia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Cyprus 2-0 Armenia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Cyprus at 42%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.

Match analysis

Cyprus and Armenia met on Friday, October 2, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Before kick-off, our model gave Cyprus a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Armenia 29%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.8%), followed by 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (11.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Cyprus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Armenia have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Cyprus therefore arrive in far better shape than Armenia. On average Cyprus score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Armenia score 1.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Cyprus sit 3rd with 1 points from 2 games, Armenia 2nd with 3 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cyprus, 1 for Armenia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Armenia 2-2 Cyprus (Mar 28, 2023). In double chance terms, "Cyprus or draw" stands at 71%, "Armenia or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 71%.

In short : Cyprus are tipped by our AI model in this Cyprus v Armenia (42%). In the table, Cyprus (3rd, 1 pts) host Armenia (2nd, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

42%
Cyprus (Win)
29%
Draw
29%
Armenia (Win)

Double chance

71%
Cyprus or draw
58%
Armenia or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Cyprus – Armenia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Cyprus 1-0 Armenia13.8%
Cyprus 1-1 Armenia13.2%
Cyprus 0-0 Armenia11.3%
Cyprus 0-1 Armenia10.9%
Cyprus 2-0 Armenia8.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.22 expected goals for Cyprus and 0.96 for Armenia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 37% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Few goals are expected here. Cyprus keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Armenia in 30%.

Probability
Cyprus expected goals1.22
Armenia expected goals0.96
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Cyprus clean sheet38%
Armenia clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Cyprus

DateOpponentScore
Sep 28, 2026Latvia · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 25, 2026Montenegro · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Jun 7, 2026Liechtenstein · International Friendlies2-0W
Jun 4, 2026Slovenia · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 30, 2026Moldova · International Friendlies3-2W

Armenia

DateOpponentScore
Sep 28, 2026Montenegro · UEFA Nations League2-3L
Sep 25, 2026Latvia · UEFA Nations League2-0W
Jun 9, 2026Moldova · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Kazakhstan · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 29, 2026Belarus · International Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Cyprus312
Armenia232

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2023Armenia 2-2 CyprusInternational Friendlies
Nov 13, 2017Armenia 3-2 CyprusInternational Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Cyprus

No absences reported.

Armenia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Cyprus

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Kastanos5/5
  • I. Pittas4/5
  • K. Sotiriou3/5
  • M. Tzionis3/5
  • N. Panagiotou3/5
  • A. Kakoullis2/5
  • A. Paraskevas2/5
  • A. Shikkis2/5
  • C. Charalampous2/5
  • C. Kyriakou2/5
  • Fabiano2/5

Armenia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Harutyunyan5/5
  • K. Hovhannisyan5/5
  • N. Tiknizyan5/5
  • A. Miranyan4/5
  • E. Piloyan4/5
  • E. Spertsyan4/5
  • A. Serobyan3/5
  • Junior Julio3/5
  • A. Bandikyan2/5
  • G. Ranos2/5
  • O. Čančarević2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Cyprus vs Armenia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Cyprus a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Armenia 29%. Cyprus are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Cyprus vs Armenia?

1-0 (13.8%), followed by 1-1 (13.2%), 0-0 (11.3%), 0-1 (10.9%) and 2-0 (8.4%).

Will both teams score in Cyprus vs Armenia?

The probability that both Cyprus and Armenia score is 44%. Cyprus have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Armenia 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Cyprus vs Armenia?

The model expects 2.18 goals (1.22 for Cyprus, 0.96 for Armenia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is Cyprus vs Armenia played?

Friday, October 2, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia.

What form are Cyprus and Armenia in?

Cyprus: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Armenia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Cyprus and Armenia?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cyprus, 1 for Armenia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Armenia 2-2 Cyprus (Mar 28, 2023).

What was the Cyprus vs Armenia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Cyprus 2-0 Armenia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Cyprus at 42%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (37%): correct.

How is the Cyprus vs Armenia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.22 for Cyprus, 0.96 for Armenia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained