UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Cyprus vs Armenia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: the Cyprus vs Armenia match is scheduled on Friday, October 2, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). Cyprus start as favourites with a 55% chance of victory; Armenia are given 21% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (10.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Cyprus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Armenia have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Cyprus therefore arrive in far better shape than Armenia. On average Cyprus score 1.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Armenia score 0.80 and concede 2.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Cyprus and Armenia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Cyprus or draw" stands at 79%, "Armenia or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Cyprus are tipped by our AI model in this Cyprus v Armenia (55%). On recent form, Cyprus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Armenia have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cyprus – Armenia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cyprus 1-0 Armenia | 11.7% |
| Cyprus 1-1 Armenia | 11.4% |
| Cyprus 2-0 Armenia | 10.0% |
| Cyprus 2-1 Armenia | 9.7% |
| Cyprus 0-0 Armenia | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.71 expected goals for Cyprus and 0.97 for Armenia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Cyprus keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Armenia in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cyprus expected goals | 1.71 |
| Armenia expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Cyprus clean sheet | 38% |
| Armenia clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cyprus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Liechtenstein · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Slovenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Moldova · International Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Belarus · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Estonia · International Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
Armenia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Moldova · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Belarus · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Portugal · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-9 | L |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Hungary · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Cyprus and Armenia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Cyprus
No absences reported.
Armenia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Cyprus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Andronikos Kakoullis3/5
- Giannis Satsias3/5
- Stelios Andreou3/5
- A. Shikkis2/5
- C. Sielis2/5
- Charalampos Kyriakou2/5
- G. Kastanos2/5
- G. Malekkidis2/5
- Grigoris Kastanos2/5
- I. Pittas2/5
- Ioannis Pittas2/5
Armenia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- K. Hovhannisyan6/5
- N. Tiknizyan5/5
- E. Piloyan4/5
- E. Spertsyan4/5
- G. Ranos4/5
- G. Harutyunyan3/5
- H. Avagyan3/5
- Junior Julio3/5
- S. Muradyan3/5
- A. Miranyan2/5
- A. Serobyan2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Cyprus vs Armenia prediction?
Our AI gives Cyprus a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Armenia 21%. Cyprus are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Cyprus vs Armenia?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Cyprus vs Armenia?
The probability that both Cyprus and Armenia score is 51%. Cyprus have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Armenia 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Cyprus vs Armenia?
The model expects 2.68 goals (1.71 for Cyprus, 0.97 for Armenia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Cyprus vs Armenia played?
Friday, October 2, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Cyprus and Armenia in?
Cyprus: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded). Armenia: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded).
How is the Cyprus vs Armenia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Cyprus, 0.97 for Armenia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cyprus predictions
- All Armenia predictions
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