UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Hungary vs Georgia: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hungary 1-0 Georgia. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Hungary was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
Match analysis
Hungary vs Georgia was played on Friday, October 2, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Puskás Aréna, Budapest. Before kick-off, our model gave Hungary a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Georgia 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (13.7%), ahead of 1-1 (13.0%) and 0-0 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Hungary have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Georgia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 2. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Hungary score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Georgia score 1.00 and concede 0.40. In the table, Hungary sit 3rd with 1 points from 2 games, Georgia 4th with 1 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hungary and Georgia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Hungary or draw" stands at 73%, "Georgia or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Hungary are tipped by our AI model in this Hungary v Georgia (45%). In the table, Hungary (3rd, 1 pts) host Georgia (4th, 1 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hungary – Georgia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hungary 1-0 Georgia | 13.7% |
| Hungary 1-1 Georgia | 13.0% |
| Hungary 0-0 Georgia | 10.4% |
| Hungary 0-1 Georgia | 9.9% |
| Hungary 2-0 Georgia | 9.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.26 goals in total (1.31 for Hungary, 0.95 for Georgia): over 2.5 goals has a 39% probability and both teams to score 45%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Hungary keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Georgia in 27%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hungary expected goals | 1.31 |
| Georgia expected goals | 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 39% |
| Georgia clean sheet | 27% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Hungary
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Northern Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ukraine · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Finland · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Greece · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Georgia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Ukraine · UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Northern Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Bahrain · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Romania · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Lithuania · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Georgia | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hungary and Georgia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Hungary
No absences reported.
Georgia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Hungary
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Bolla3/5
- D. Szoboszlai3/5
- M. Kerkez3/5
- Á. Csongvai2/5
- A. Schäfer2/5
- Alex Tóth2/5
- András Schäfer2/5
- Attila Osváth2/5
- B. Tóth2/5
- Barnabás Varga2/5
- D. Lukacs2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Kazakhstan 1-2 MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus 2-0 ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia 1-2 MontenegroOct 2, 2026
- Belgium 3-0 TürkiyeOct 2, 2026
- Faroe Islands 1-1 SlovakiaOct 2, 2026
- Ukraine 0-3 Northern IrelandOct 2, 2026
- Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 SwedenOct 2, 2026
- France 1-1 ItalyOct 2, 2026
- Finland 2-1 AlbaniaOct 3, 2026
- Croatia 0-7 EnglandOct 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hungary vs Georgia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hungary a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Georgia 27%. Hungary are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Hungary vs Georgia?
1-0 (13.7%), followed by 1-1 (13.0%), 0-0 (10.4%), 0-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.0%).
Will both teams score in Hungary vs Georgia?
The probability that both Hungary and Georgia score is 45%. Hungary have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Georgia 27%.
How many goals should we expect in Hungary vs Georgia?
The model expects 2.26 goals (1.31 for Hungary, 0.95 for Georgia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Hungary vs Georgia played?
Friday, October 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Puskás Aréna, Budapest.
What form are Hungary and Georgia in?
Hungary: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Georgia: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded).
What was the Hungary vs Georgia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hungary 1-0 Georgia. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Hungary was the model's favourite outcome (45%). The exact score 1-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
How is the Hungary vs Georgia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.31 for Hungary, 0.95 for Georgia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hungary predictions
- All Georgia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology