UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Hungary vs Georgia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Hungary vs Georgia kicks off on Friday, October 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). The edge goes to Hungary (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Georgia win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Hungary have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Georgia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Hungary score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Georgia score 1.60 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hungary and Georgia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Hungary or draw" stands at 77%, "Georgia or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Hungary are tipped by our AI model in this Hungary v Georgia (53%). On recent form, Hungary have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Georgia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hungary – Georgia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hungary 1-1 Georgia | 11.6% |
| Hungary 1-0 Georgia | 11.5% |
| Hungary 2-1 Georgia | 9.6% |
| Hungary 2-0 Georgia | 9.5% |
| Hungary 0-1 Georgia | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Hungary, 1.01 for Georgia): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Hungary keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Georgia in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hungary expected goals | 1.66 |
| Georgia expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 36% |
| Georgia clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Hungary
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Finland · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Greece · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Slovenia · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Ireland · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 2-3 | L |
Georgia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Bahrain · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Romania · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Lithuania · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Israel · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Bulgaria · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Hungary and Georgia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Hungary
No absences reported.
Georgia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Hungary
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Schafer5/5
- A. Toth5/5
- D. Szoboszlai5/5
- W. Orban5/5
- M. Kerkez4/5
- M. Vitalis4/5
- R. Sallai4/5
- B. Toth3/5
- B. Varga3/5
- A. Osvath2/5
- B. Bolla2/5
Georgia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Giorgi Mamardashvili3/5
- Gizo Mamageishvili3/5
- Ilia Beriashvili3/5
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia3/5
- Luka Lochoshvili3/5
- Otar Kiteishvili3/5
- Anzor Mekvabishvili2/5
- Georges Mikautadze2/5
- Giorgi Chakvetadze2/5
- Giorgi Kochorashvili2/5
- Giorgi Kvilitaia2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Kazakhstan – MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus – ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia – MontenegroOct 2, 2026
- Belgium – TürkiyeOct 2, 2026
- Faroe Islands – SlovakiaOct 2, 2026
- Ukraine – Northern IrelandOct 2, 2026
- Bosnia & Herzegovina – SwedenOct 2, 2026
- France – ItalyOct 2, 2026
- Finland – AlbaniaOct 3, 2026
- Croatia – EnglandOct 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hungary vs Georgia prediction?
Our AI gives Hungary a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Georgia 23%. Hungary are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Hungary vs Georgia?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Hungary vs Georgia?
The probability that both Hungary and Georgia score is 52%. Hungary have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Georgia 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Hungary vs Georgia?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Hungary, 1.01 for Georgia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Hungary vs Georgia played?
Friday, October 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Hungary and Georgia in?
Hungary: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Georgia: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Hungary vs Georgia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Hungary, 1.01 for Georgia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hungary predictions
- All Georgia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology