UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Faroe Islands vs Slovakia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Faroe Islands take on Slovakia on Friday, October 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. The edge goes to Faroe Islands (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Slovakia win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Slovakia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Faroe Islands score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Slovakia score 1.80 and concede 2.60.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Faroe Islands and Slovakia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Faroe Islands or draw" stands at 77%, "Slovakia or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Faroe Islands are favourites for this Faroe Islands v Slovakia, with a 53% win probability from our model. On recent form, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Slovakia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Faroe Islands – Slovakia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia | 11.6% |
| Faroe Islands 1-0 Slovakia | 11.5% |
| Faroe Islands 2-1 Slovakia | 9.6% |
| Faroe Islands 2-0 Slovakia | 9.5% |
| Faroe Islands 0-1 Slovakia | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Faroe Islands, 1.01 for Slovakia): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Faroe Islands keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Slovakia in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands expected goals | 1.66 |
| Slovakia expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Faroe Islands clean sheet | 36% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Faroe Islands
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia · Baltic Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Estonia · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Croatia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-3 | L |
Slovakia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Montenegro · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Romania · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Kosovo · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 3-4 | L |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Germany · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-6 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Slovakia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Faroe Islands and Slovakia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Faroe Islands
No absences reported.
Slovakia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Faroe Islands
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Frederiksberg4/5
- G. Vatnhamar4/5
- J. Andreasen4/5
- G. D. Turi3/5
- H. Sorensen3/5
- M. Agnarsson3/5
- S. Chukwudi3/5
- V. Davidsen3/5
- B. Reynatrod2/5
- J. Danielsen2/5
- M. Lamhauge2/5
Slovakia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Obert5/5
- D. Strelec4/5
- O. Duda4/5
- D. Hancko3/5
- D. Vavro3/5
- L. Haraslin3/5
- M. Bero3/5
- M. Valjent3/5
- S. Lobotka3/5
- T. Suslov3/5
- L. Benes2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Faroe Islands vs Slovakia prediction?
Our AI gives Faroe Islands a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Slovakia 23%. Faroe Islands are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
The probability that both Faroe Islands and Slovakia score is 52%. Faroe Islands have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Slovakia 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Faroe Islands, 1.01 for Slovakia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Faroe Islands vs Slovakia played?
Friday, October 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Faroe Islands and Slovakia in?
Faroe Islands: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Slovakia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded).
How is the Faroe Islands vs Slovakia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Faroe Islands, 1.01 for Slovakia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Faroe Islands predictions
- All Slovakia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology