UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Friday, October 2, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Faroe Islands vs Slovakia: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Slovakia (50%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
Match analysis
Faroe Islands vs Slovakia was played on Friday, October 2, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Torsvollur, Torshavn. Before kick-off, our model gave Faroe Islands a 20% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Slovakia 50%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (18.4%), ahead of 0-0 (14.8%) and 1-1 (12.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Faroe Islands have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Slovakia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Slovakia. On average Faroe Islands score 1.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Slovakia score 2.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Faroe Islands sit 3rd with 2 points from 2 games, Slovakia 1st with 6 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Faroe Islands and Slovakia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Faroe Islands or draw" stands at 50%, "Slovakia or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 70%.
In short : Slovakia are favourites for this Faroe Islands v Slovakia, with a 50% win probability from our model. On recent form, Faroe Islands have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Slovakia are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Faroe Islands – Slovakia. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (18.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands 0-1 Slovakia | 18.4% |
| Faroe Islands 0-0 Slovakia | 14.8% |
| Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia | 12.3% |
| Faroe Islands 0-2 Slovakia | 11.4% |
| Faroe Islands 1-0 Slovakia | 9.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.91 goals in total (0.67 for Faroe Islands, 1.24 for Slovakia): over 2.5 goals has a 30% probability and both teams to score 35%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Faroe Islands keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Slovakia in 51%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands expected goals | 0.67 |
| Slovakia expected goals | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | 35% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Faroe Islands clean sheet | 29% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 51% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Faroe Islands
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Moldova · UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia · Baltic Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Estonia · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Slovakia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Moldova · UEFA Nations League | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Montenegro · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Romania · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Slovakia | 1 | 6 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Faroe Islands and Slovakia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Faroe Islands
No absences reported.
Slovakia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Faroe Islands
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Vatnhamar5/5
- M. Agnarsson4/5
- S. Chukwudi4/5
- A. Frederiksberg3/5
- J. Andreasen3/5
- J. Danielsen3/5
- M. Lamhauge3/5
- P. Knudsen3/5
- A. Edmundsson2/5
- A. Justinussen2/5
- Á. Samuelsen2/5
Slovakia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Obert5/5
- T. Suslov5/5
- D. Strelec4/5
- O. Duda4/5
- D. Hancko3/5
- M. Valjent3/5
- S. Lobotka3/5
- D. Vavro2/5
- L. Benes2/5
- L. Haraslin2/5
- L. Haraslín2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Kazakhstan 1-2 MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus 2-0 ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia 1-2 MontenegroOct 2, 2026
- Belgium 3-0 TürkiyeOct 2, 2026
- Ukraine 0-3 Northern IrelandOct 2, 2026
- Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 SwedenOct 2, 2026
- France 1-1 ItalyOct 2, 2026
- Finland 2-1 AlbaniaOct 3, 2026
- Croatia 0-7 EnglandOct 3, 2026
- Estonia 1-0 LuxembourgOct 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Faroe Islands vs Slovakia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Faroe Islands a 20% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Slovakia 50%. Slovakia are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
0-1 (18.4%), followed by 0-0 (14.8%), 1-1 (12.3%), 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.9%).
Will both teams score in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
The probability that both Faroe Islands and Slovakia score is 35%. Faroe Islands have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Slovakia 51%.
How many goals should we expect in Faroe Islands vs Slovakia?
The model expects 1.91 goals (0.67 for Faroe Islands, 1.24 for Slovakia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 57%, over 2.5 goals 30%, over 3.5 goals 13%.
When and where is Faroe Islands vs Slovakia played?
Friday, October 2, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Torsvollur, Torshavn.
What form are Faroe Islands and Slovakia in?
Faroe Islands: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded). Slovakia: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Faroe Islands vs Slovakia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Slovakia (50%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
How is the Faroe Islands vs Slovakia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.67 for Faroe Islands, 1.24 for Slovakia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Faroe Islands predictions
- All Slovakia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology