UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Monday, October 5, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Cyprus vs Latvia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Cyprus take on Latvia on Monday, October 5, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. The edge goes to Cyprus (51%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Latvia win (24%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Cyprus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Latvia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cyprus score 1.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Latvia score 0.80 and concede 0.80.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cyprus, 0 for Latvia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cyprus 1-1 Latvia (Mar 21, 2024). In double chance terms, "Cyprus or draw" stands at 76%, "Latvia or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Cyprus are tipped by our AI model in this Cyprus v Latvia (51%). On recent form, Cyprus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Latvia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cyprus – Latvia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cyprus 1-1 Latvia | 11.8% |
| Cyprus 1-0 Latvia | 11.4% |
| Cyprus 2-1 Latvia | 9.5% |
| Cyprus 2-0 Latvia | 9.3% |
| Cyprus 0-1 Latvia | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.65 goals in total (1.62 for Cyprus, 1.03 for Latvia): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Cyprus keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Latvia in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cyprus expected goals | 1.62 |
| Latvia expected goals | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Cyprus clean sheet | 36% |
| Latvia clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cyprus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Liechtenstein · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Slovenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Moldova · International Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Belarus · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Estonia · International Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
Latvia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Faroe Islands · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Lithuania · Baltic Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Gibraltar · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Gibraltar · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Serbia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvia | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | Cyprus 1-1 Latvia | International Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Cyprus
No absences reported.
Latvia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Cyprus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Andronikos Kakoullis3/5
- Giannis Satsias3/5
- Stelios Andreou3/5
- A. Shikkis2/5
- C. Sielis2/5
- Charalampos Kyriakou2/5
- G. Kastanos2/5
- G. Malekkidis2/5
- Grigoris Kastanos2/5
- I. Pittas2/5
- Ioannis Pittas2/5
Latvia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Vapne3/5
- R. Jurkovskis3/5
- R. Savalnieks3/5
- A. Cernomordijs2/5
- A. Ciganiks2/5
- Andrejs Cigaņiks2/5
- Antonijs Černomordijs2/5
- D. Melniks2/5
- Dmitrijs Zelenkovs2/5
- E. Emsis2/5
- F. Orols2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Cyprus vs Latvia prediction?
Our AI gives Cyprus a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Latvia 24%. Cyprus are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Cyprus vs Latvia?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Cyprus vs Latvia?
The probability that both Cyprus and Latvia score is 52%. Cyprus have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Latvia 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Cyprus vs Latvia?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Cyprus, 1.03 for Latvia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Cyprus vs Latvia played?
Monday, October 5, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Cyprus and Latvia in?
Cyprus: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded). Latvia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Cyprus and Latvia?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cyprus, 0 for Latvia and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cyprus 1-1 Latvia (Mar 21, 2024).
How is the Cyprus vs Latvia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Cyprus, 1.03 for Latvia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cyprus predictions
- All Latvia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology