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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Monday, October 5, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Northern Ireland vs Georgia: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland0 – 0GeorgiaGeorgia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Georgia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Northern Ireland (38%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The exact score 0-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (16.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (28%): correct.

Match analysis

Northern Ireland and Georgia met on Monday, October 5, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Windsor Park, Belfast. Before kick-off, our model gave Northern Ireland a 38% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Georgia 29%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (16.0%), followed by 1-0 (16.0%) and 0-1 (13.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Northern Ireland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Georgia have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 3. Northern Ireland therefore arrive in far better shape than Georgia. On average Northern Ireland score 1.20 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Georgia score 0.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Northern Ireland sit 1st with 7 points from 3 games, Georgia 4th with 1 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Northern Ireland have averaged 1.39 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.45 for Georgia.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Northern Ireland, 0 for Georgia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Georgia 0-1 Northern Ireland (Sep 25, 2026). In double chance terms, "Northern Ireland or draw" stands at 71%, "Georgia or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 68%.

In short : Northern Ireland are tipped by our AI model in this Northern Ireland v Georgia (38%). In the table, Northern Ireland (1st, 7 pts) host Georgia (4th, 1 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Northern Ireland (Win)
32%
Draw
29%
Georgia (Win)

Double chance

71%
Northern Ireland or draw
62%
Georgia or draw
68%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Northern Ireland – Georgia. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Northern Ireland 0-0 Georgia16.0%
Northern Ireland 1-0 Georgia16.0%
Northern Ireland 0-1 Georgia13.3%
Northern Ireland 1-1 Georgia13.3%
Northern Ireland 2-0 Georgia8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.00 expected goals for Northern Ireland and 0.83 for Georgia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 28% and "both teams to score" at 36%. Few goals are expected here. Northern Ireland keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Georgia in 37%.

Probability
Northern Ireland expected goals1.00
Georgia expected goals0.83
Both teams to score36%
Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Northern Ireland clean sheet44%
Georgia clean sheet37%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Northern Ireland

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026Ukraine · UEFA Nations League3-0W
Sep 28, 2026Hungary · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 25, 2026Georgia · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Jun 8, 2026France · International Friendlies1-3L
Jun 4, 2026Guinea · International Friendlies1-0W

Georgia

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026Hungary · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Sep 28, 2026Ukraine · UEFA Nations League0-0D
Sep 25, 2026Northern Ireland · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Jun 5, 2026Bahrain · International Friendlies2-0W
Jun 2, 2026Romania · International Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Northern Ireland173
Georgia413

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 25, 2026Georgia 0-1 Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League

Out and doubtful

Northern Ireland

No absences reported.

Georgia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Northern Ireland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Brown5/5
  • I. Price5/5
  • J. Donley5/5
  • P. Charles5/5
  • S. Charles5/5
  • J. Devenny4/5
  • T. Hume4/5
  • Tom Atcheson3/5
  • B. Spencer2/5
  • E. Galbraith2/5
  • K. Morrison2/5

Georgia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • L. Lochoshvili5/5
  • S. Goglichidze5/5
  • G. Kochorashvili4/5
  • G. Mamardashvili4/5
  • K. Kvaratskhelia4/5
  • O. Kiteishvili4/5
  • G. Chakvetadze3/5
  • G. Mikautadze3/5
  • L. Dvali3/5
  • O. Kakabadze3/5
  • G. Kvilitaia2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Northern Ireland a 38% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Georgia 29%. Northern Ireland are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Northern Ireland vs Georgia?

0-0 (16.0%), followed by 1-0 (16.0%), 0-1 (13.3%), 1-1 (13.3%) and 2-0 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Georgia?

The probability that both Northern Ireland and Georgia score is 36%. Northern Ireland have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Georgia 37%.

How many goals should we expect in Northern Ireland vs Georgia?

The model expects 1.83 goals (1.00 for Northern Ireland, 0.83 for Georgia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 55%, over 2.5 goals 28%, over 3.5 goals 11%.

When and where is Northern Ireland vs Georgia played?

Monday, October 5, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Windsor Park, Belfast.

What form are Northern Ireland and Georgia in?

Northern Ireland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded). Georgia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Northern Ireland and Georgia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Northern Ireland, 0 for Georgia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Georgia 0-1 Northern Ireland (Sep 25, 2026).

What was the Northern Ireland vs Georgia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Georgia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Northern Ireland (38%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The exact score 0-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (16.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (28%): correct.

How is the Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.00 for Northern Ireland, 0.83 for Georgia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained