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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands: 2-2 result and AI prediction review

KazakhstanKazakhstan2 – 2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Kazakhstan 2-2 Faroe Islands. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kazakhstan (40%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (3.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.

Match analysis

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands was played on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Astana Arena, Astana. Before kick-off, our model gave Kazakhstan a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Faroe Islands 29%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (15.4%), ahead of 0-0 (14.2%) and 1-1 (13.4%).

Kazakhstan have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Faroe Islands have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Faroe Islands. On average Kazakhstan score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Faroe Islands score 0.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Kazakhstan sit 4th with 1 points from 3 games, Faroe Islands 3rd with 3 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Kazakhstan have averaged 1.10 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.99 for Faroe Islands.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kazakhstan, 1 for Faroe Islands and 0 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan (Nov 18, 2025). In double chance terms, "Kazakhstan or draw" stands at 71%, "Faroe Islands or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 69%.

In short : Kazakhstan are tipped by our AI model in this Kazakhstan v Faroe Islands (40%). In the table, Kazakhstan (4th, 1 pts) host Faroe Islands (3rd, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

40%
Kazakhstan (Win)
31%
Draw
29%
Faroe Islands (Win)

Double chance

71%
Kazakhstan or draw
60%
Faroe Islands or draw
69%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Kazakhstan – Faroe Islands. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 64% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Kazakhstan 1-0 Faroe Islands15.4%
Kazakhstan 0-0 Faroe Islands14.2%
Kazakhstan 1-1 Faroe Islands13.4%
Kazakhstan 0-1 Faroe Islands12.4%
Kazakhstan 2-0 Faroe Islands8.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.95 goals in total (1.08 for Kazakhstan, 0.87 for Faroe Islands): over 2.5 goals has a 31% probability and both teams to score 38%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Kazakhstan keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Faroe Islands in 34%.

Probability
Kazakhstan expected goals1.08
Faroe Islands expected goals0.87
Both teams to score38%
Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Kazakhstan clean sheet42%
Faroe Islands clean sheet34%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Kazakhstan

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026Moldova · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 29, 2026Slovakia · UEFA Nations League1-2L
Sep 26, 2026Faroe Islands · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Hungary · International Friendlies1-3L
Jun 6, 2026Armenia · International Friendlies1-1D

Faroe Islands

DateOpponentScore
Oct 2, 2026Slovakia · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Sep 29, 2026Moldova · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Sep 26, 2026Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations League1-1D
Jun 9, 2026Latvia · Baltic Cup1-0W
Jun 6, 2026Estonia · Baltic Cup0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Kazakhstan413
Faroe Islands333

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 18, 2025Faroe Islands 1-0 KazakhstanInternational Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Kazakhstan

No absences reported.

Faroe Islands

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Kazakhstan

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • N. Alip5/5
  • D. Karaman4/5
  • G. Kenzhebek4/5
  • I. Kuat4/5
  • Y. Vorogovskiy4/5
  • A. Mrynskiy3/5
  • R. Orazov3/5
  • T. Erlanov3/5
  • Z. Amir3/5
  • A. Ashirbek2/5
  • A. Zarutskiy2/5

Faroe Islands

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • G. Vatnhamar5/5
  • M. Agnarsson4/5
  • A. Edmundsson3/5
  • G. Turi3/5
  • H. Sørensen3/5
  • J. Danielsen3/5
  • M. Lamhauge3/5
  • P. Knudsen3/5
  • S. Chukwudi3/5
  • A. Frederiksberg2/5
  • A. Justinussen2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Kazakhstan a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Faroe Islands 29%. Kazakhstan are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?

1-0 (15.4%), followed by 0-0 (14.2%), 1-1 (13.4%), 0-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%).

Will both teams score in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?

The probability that both Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands score is 38%. Kazakhstan have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Faroe Islands 34%.

How many goals should we expect in Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands?

The model expects 1.95 goals (1.08 for Kazakhstan, 0.87 for Faroe Islands). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 31%, over 3.5 goals 13%.

When and where is Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands played?

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Astana Arena, Astana.

What form are Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands in?

Kazakhstan: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Faroe Islands: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kazakhstan, 1 for Faroe Islands and 0 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan (Nov 18, 2025).

What was the Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Kazakhstan 2-2 Faroe Islands. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kazakhstan (40%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (3.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.

How is the Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.08 for Kazakhstan, 0.87 for Faroe Islands) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained