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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Switzerland vs North Macedonia prediction: correct score and AI tips

SwitzerlandSwitzerland–North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: Switzerland vs North Macedonia kicks off on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). The edge goes to Switzerland (53%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a North Macedonia win (22%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.4%), ahead of 1-1 (11.8%) and 2-0 (10.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. North Macedonia have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 15. Recent momentum is clearly with Switzerland. On average Switzerland score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; North Macedonia score 0.20 and concede 3.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Switzerland and North Macedonia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Switzerland or draw" stands at 78%, "North Macedonia or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Switzerland are tipped by our AI model in this Switzerland v North Macedonia (53%). On recent form, Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while North Macedonia have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

53%
Switzerland (Win)
25%
Draw
22%
North Macedonia (Win)

Double chance

78%
Switzerland or draw
47%
North Macedonia or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Switzerland – North Macedonia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Switzerland 1-0 North Macedonia12.4%
Switzerland 1-1 North Macedonia11.8%
Switzerland 2-0 North Macedonia10.0%
Switzerland 2-1 North Macedonia9.5%
Switzerland 0-0 North Macedonia7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.56 goals in total (1.61 for Switzerland, 0.95 for North Macedonia): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 49%. Switzerland keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, North Macedonia in 20%.

Probability
Switzerland expected goals1.61
North Macedonia expected goals0.95
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Switzerland clean sheet39%
North Macedonia clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Switzerland

DateOpponentScore
Jul 12, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup1-3L
Jul 7, 2026Colombia · FIFA World Cup0-0D
Jul 3, 2026Algeria · FIFA World Cup2-0W
Jun 24, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup2-1W
Jun 18, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup4-1W

North Macedonia

DateOpponentScore
Jun 1, 2026Türkiye · International Friendlies0-4L
May 29, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 31, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 26, 2026Denmark · World Cup - Qualification Europe0-4L
Nov 18, 2025Wales · World Cup - Qualification Europe1-7L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Switzerland100
North Macedonia200

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Switzerland and North Macedonia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Switzerland

No absences reported.

North Macedonia

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Switzerland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Embolo4/5
  • G. Kobel4/5
  • G. Xhaka4/5
  • M. Akanji4/5
  • N. Elvedi4/5
  • R. Freuler4/5
  • R. Rodriguez4/5
  • D. Ndoye3/5
  • D. Zakaria2/5
  • F. Rieder2/5
  • J. Manzambi2/5

North Macedonia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Elmas5/5
  • G. Zajkov5/5
  • S. Dimitrievski5/5
  • D. Velkovski4/5
  • B. Miovski3/5
  • E. Bardhi3/5
  • E. Rastoder3/5
  • J. Atanasov3/5
  • S. Herrera3/5
  • A. Stojcevski2/5
  • D. Churlinov2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Switzerland vs North Macedonia prediction?

Our AI gives Switzerland a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and North Macedonia 22%. Switzerland are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Switzerland vs North Macedonia?

1-0 (12.4%), followed by 1-1 (11.8%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.5%) and 0-0 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Switzerland vs North Macedonia?

The probability that both Switzerland and North Macedonia score is 49%. Switzerland have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, North Macedonia 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Switzerland vs North Macedonia?

The model expects 2.56 goals (1.61 for Switzerland, 0.95 for North Macedonia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is Switzerland vs North Macedonia played?

Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Switzerland and North Macedonia in?

Switzerland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). North Macedonia: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 15 conceded).

How is the Switzerland vs North Macedonia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Switzerland, 0.95 for North Macedonia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained