UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
England vs Czechia: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: England 3-0 Czechia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for England at 88%. The exact score 3-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (10.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): correct.
Match analysis
England and Czechia met on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Wembley Stadium, London. Before kick-off, our model gave England a 88% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Czechia 4%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (10.3%), followed by 4-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, England have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Czechia have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 11. England therefore arrive in far better shape than Czechia. On average England score 3.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Czechia score 0.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, England sit 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, Czechia 4th with 0 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, England have averaged 3.18 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.66 for Czechia.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for England, 1 for Czechia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-1 England (Jun 22, 2021). In double chance terms, "England or draw" stands at 96%, "Czechia or draw" at 12% and "no draw" at 92%.
In short : England are tipped by our AI model in this England v Czechia (88%). In the table, England (2nd, 6 pts) host Czechia (4th, 0 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as England – Czechia. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| England 3-0 Czechia | 10.3% |
| England 4-0 Czechia | 9.2% |
| England 2-0 Czechia | 8.6% |
| England 3-1 Czechia | 7.5% |
| England 4-1 Czechia | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 3.57 expected goals for England and 0.73 for Czechia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 80% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Goals look likely in this one. England keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Czechia in 3%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| England expected goals | 3.57 |
| Czechia expected goals | 0.73 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 62% |
| England clean sheet | 48% |
| Czechia clean sheet | 3% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
England
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Croatia · UEFA Nations League | 7-0 | W |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Czechia · UEFA Nations League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spain · UEFA Nations League | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 18, 2026 | France · FIFA World Cup | 6-4 | W |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
Czechia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spain · UEFA Nations League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 29, 2026 | England · UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Croatia · UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 18, 2026 | South Africa · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Czechia | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2021 | Czechia 0-1 England | Euro Championship |
| Oct 11, 2019 | Czechia 2-1 England | Euro Championship |
| Mar 22, 2019 | England 5-0 Czechia | Euro Championship |
Out and doubtful
England
No absences reported.
Czechia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
England
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Gordon4/5
- B. Saka4/5
- E. Anderson4/5
- H. Kane4/5
- E. Konsa3/5
- J. Bellingham3/5
- J. Quansah3/5
- M. Guéhi3/5
- M. Rogers3/5
- D. Rice2/5
- D. Spence2/5
Czechia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hložek3/5
- J. Sláma3/5
- Š. Chaloupek3/5
- V. Coufal3/5
- A. Hlozek2/5
- A. Karabec2/5
- L. Ambros2/5
- L. Cerv2/5
- L. Červ2/5
- L. Krejci2/5
- L. Krejčí2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Italy 3-1 TürkiyeOct 5, 2026
- Kazakhstan 2-2 Faroe IslandsOct 6, 2026
- Albania 2-1 San MarinoOct 6, 2026
- Switzerland 3-0 North MacedoniaOct 6, 2026
- Croatia 1-2 SpainOct 6, 2026
- Belarus 1-0 FinlandOct 6, 2026
- Scotland 1-2 SloveniaOct 6, 2026
- Estonia 0-0 IcelandOct 6, 2026
- Moldova 0-4 SlovakiaOct 6, 2026
- Luxembourg 0-2 BulgariaOct 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the England vs Czechia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave England a 88% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Czechia 4%. England are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for England vs Czechia?
3-0 (10.3%), followed by 4-0 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.6%), 3-1 (7.5%) and 4-1 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in England vs Czechia?
The probability that both England and Czechia score is 50%. England have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Czechia 3%.
How many goals should we expect in England vs Czechia?
The model expects 4.30 goals (3.57 for England, 0.73 for Czechia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 80%, over 3.5 goals 62%.
When and where is England vs Czechia played?
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Wembley Stadium, London.
What form are England and Czechia in?
England: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 9 conceded). Czechia: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between England and Czechia?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for England, 1 for Czechia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-1 England (Jun 22, 2021).
What was the England vs Czechia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: England 3-0 Czechia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for England at 88%. The exact score 3-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (10.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (80%): correct.
How is the England vs Czechia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.57 for England, 0.73 for Czechia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All England predictions
- All Czechia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology