UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
England vs Czechia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
England take on Czechia on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. Our model makes England clear favourites: a 65% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 13% for Czechia. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (15.2%), followed by 2-0 (13.9%) and 1-1 (10.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, England have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. England therefore arrive in far better shape than Czechia. On average England score 2.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Czechia score 1.40 and concede 1.60. Over their recent games, England have averaged 1.55 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.77 for Czechia.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for England, 1 for Czechia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-1 England (Jun 22, 2021). In double chance terms, "England or draw" stands at 87%, "Czechia or draw" at 35% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : England are tipped by our AI model in this England v Czechia (65%). On recent form, England are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as England – Czechia. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| England 1-0 Czechia | 15.2% |
| England 2-0 Czechia | 13.9% |
| England 1-1 Czechia | 10.1% |
| England 2-1 Czechia | 9.2% |
| England 3-0 Czechia | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.82 expected goals for England and 0.66 for Czechia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 45% and "both teams to score" at 41%. England keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, Czechia in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| England expected goals | 1.82 |
| Czechia expected goals | 0.66 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| England clean sheet | 52% |
| Czechia clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
England
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | France · FIFA World Cup | 6-4 | W |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Norway · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 1, 2026 | DR Congo · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
Czechia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 18, 2026 | South Africa · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | South Korea · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Guatemala · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Kosovo · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2021 | Czechia 0-1 England | Euro Championship |
| Oct 11, 2019 | Czechia 2-1 England | Euro Championship |
| Mar 22, 2019 | England 5-0 Czechia | Euro Championship |
Out and doubtful
England
No absences reported.
Czechia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
England
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Rice4/5
- E. Anderson4/5
- H. Kane4/5
- J. Bellingham4/5
- J. Pickford4/5
- M. Guehi4/5
- A. Gordon3/5
- E. Konsa3/5
- N. O'Reilly3/5
- D. Spence2/5
- J. Stones2/5
Czechia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Krejci5/5
- R. Hranac5/5
- M. Kovar4/5
- V. Coufal4/5
- A. Hlozek3/5
- A. Sojka3/5
- L. Cerv3/5
- M. Sadilek3/5
- P. Schick3/5
- P. Sulc3/5
- S. Chaloupek3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Italy – TürkiyeOct 5, 2026
- Kazakhstan – Faroe IslandsOct 6, 2026
- Albania – San MarinoOct 6, 2026
- Switzerland – North MacedoniaOct 6, 2026
- Croatia – SpainOct 6, 2026
- Belarus – FinlandOct 6, 2026
- Scotland – SloveniaOct 6, 2026
- Estonia – IcelandOct 6, 2026
- Moldova – SlovakiaOct 6, 2026
- Luxembourg – BulgariaOct 6, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the England vs Czechia prediction?
Our AI gives England a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Czechia 13%. England are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for England vs Czechia?
1-0 (15.2%), followed by 2-0 (13.9%), 1-1 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in England vs Czechia?
The probability that both England and Czechia score is 41%. England have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Czechia 16%.
How many goals should we expect in England vs Czechia?
The model expects 2.48 goals (1.82 for England, 0.66 for Czechia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 45%, over 3.5 goals 24%.
When and where is England vs Czechia played?
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are England and Czechia in?
England: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 10 conceded). Czechia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between England and Czechia?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for England, 1 for Czechia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-1 England (Jun 22, 2021).
How is the England vs Czechia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.82 for England, 0.66 for Czechia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All England predictions
- All Czechia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology