UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Czechia vs England prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Czechia take on England on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. The edge goes to England (52%), ahead of the draw (27%) and a Czechia win (21%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (15.0%), ahead of 1-1 (12.3%) and 0-2 (10.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, England have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Recent momentum is clearly with England. On average Czechia score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; England score 2.80 and concede 2.00. Over their recent games, Czechia have averaged 0.77 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.55 for England.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Czechia, 2 for England and 0 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-1 England (Jun 22, 2021). In double chance terms, "Czechia or draw" stands at 48%, "England or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : England are favourites for this Czechia v England, with a 52% win probability from our model. On recent form, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while England are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Czechia – England. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Czechia 0-1 England | 15.0% |
| Czechia 1-1 England | 12.3% |
| Czechia 0-2 England | 10.9% |
| Czechia 0-0 England | 10.3% |
| Czechia 1-2 England | 8.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.27 goals in total (0.82 for Czechia, 1.45 for England): over 2.5 goals has a 40% probability and both teams to score 43%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Czechia keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, England in 44%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Czechia expected goals | 0.82 |
| England expected goals | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Czechia clean sheet | 24% |
| England clean sheet | 44% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Czechia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 18, 2026 | South Africa · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | South Korea · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Guatemala · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Kosovo · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
England
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | France · FIFA World Cup | 6-4 | W |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Norway · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Jul 1, 2026 | DR Congo · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| England | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2021 | Czechia 0-1 England | Euro Championship |
| Oct 11, 2019 | Czechia 2-1 England | Euro Championship |
| Mar 22, 2019 | England 5-0 Czechia | Euro Championship |
Out and doubtful
Czechia
No absences reported.
England
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Czechia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Krejci5/5
- R. Hranac5/5
- M. Kovar4/5
- V. Coufal4/5
- A. Hlozek3/5
- A. Sojka3/5
- L. Cerv3/5
- M. Sadilek3/5
- P. Schick3/5
- P. Sulc3/5
- S. Chaloupek3/5
England
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Rice4/5
- E. Anderson4/5
- H. Kane4/5
- J. Bellingham4/5
- J. Pickford4/5
- M. Guehi4/5
- A. Gordon3/5
- E. Konsa3/5
- N. O'Reilly3/5
- D. Spence2/5
- J. Stones2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- San Marino – AlbaniaSep 29, 2026
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- Slovakia – KazakhstanSep 29, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Czechia vs England prediction?
Our AI gives Czechia a 21% chance of winning, the draw 27% and England 52%. England are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Czechia vs England?
0-1 (15.0%), followed by 1-1 (12.3%), 0-2 (10.9%), 0-0 (10.3%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Will both teams score in Czechia vs England?
The probability that both Czechia and England score is 43%. Czechia have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, England 44%.
How many goals should we expect in Czechia vs England?
The model expects 2.27 goals (0.82 for Czechia, 1.45 for England). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Czechia vs England played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Czechia and England in?
Czechia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). England: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Czechia and England?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Czechia, 2 for England and 0 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-1 England (Jun 22, 2021).
How is the Czechia vs England prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.82 for Czechia, 1.45 for England) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Czechia predictions
- All England predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology