UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
North Macedonia vs Scotland: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: North Macedonia 0-2 Scotland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for North Macedonia (56%), while victory for Scotland was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): correct.
Match analysis
North Macedonia vs Scotland was played on Saturday, October 3, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, Skopje. Before kick-off, our model gave North Macedonia a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Scotland 19%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.7%), ahead of 2-0 (11.7%) and 1-1 (11.6%).
North Macedonia have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 0 and conceding 9. Scotland have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average North Macedonia score 0.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Scotland score 0.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, North Macedonia sit 4th with 0 points from 2 games, Scotland 3rd with 1 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between North Macedonia and Scotland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "North Macedonia or draw" stands at 81%, "Scotland or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : North Macedonia are tipped by our AI model in this North Macedonia v Scotland (56%). On recent form, North Macedonia have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Scotland have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as North Macedonia – Scotland. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| North Macedonia 1-0 Scotland | 14.7% |
| North Macedonia 2-0 Scotland | 11.7% |
| North Macedonia 1-1 Scotland | 11.6% |
| North Macedonia 0-0 Scotland | 9.3% |
| North Macedonia 2-1 Scotland | 9.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.38 goals in total (1.59 for North Macedonia, 0.79 for Scotland): over 2.5 goals has a 43% probability and both teams to score 44%. North Macedonia keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Scotland in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| North Macedonia expected goals | 1.59 |
| Scotland expected goals | 0.79 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| North Macedonia clean sheet | 45% |
| Scotland clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
North Macedonia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slovenia · UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Switzerland · UEFA Nations League | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Türkiye · International Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| May 29, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ireland · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Scotland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Switzerland · UEFA Nations League | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slovenia · UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Brazil · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Morocco · FIFA World Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Haiti · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Scotland | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between North Macedonia and Scotland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
North Macedonia
No absences reported.
Scotland
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
North Macedonia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Elmas5/5
- S. Dimitrievski5/5
- G. Zajkov4/5
- B. Miovski3/5
- D. Velkovski3/5
- E. Rastoder3/5
- J. Atanasov3/5
- S. Herrera3/5
- A. Elezi2/5
- E. Bardhi2/5
- I. Fetai2/5
Scotland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Gunn5/5
- A. Robertson5/5
- J. Hendry5/5
- L. Ferguson5/5
- J. McGinn3/5
- N. Patterson3/5
- S. McKenna3/5
- S. McTominay3/5
- A. Hickey2/5
- B. Gannon-Doak2/5
- B. Gilmour2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Finland 2-1 AlbaniaOct 3, 2026
- Croatia 0-7 EnglandOct 3, 2026
- Estonia 1-0 LuxembourgOct 3, 2026
- Belarus 4-0 San MarinoOct 3, 2026
- Iceland 3-0 BulgariaOct 3, 2026
- Spain 3-1 CzechiaOct 3, 2026
- Switzerland 2-1 SloveniaOct 3, 2026
- Azerbaijan 1-0 LithuaniaOct 4, 2026
- Malta 1-0 AndorraOct 4, 2026
- Kosovo 1-1 AustriaOct 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the North Macedonia vs Scotland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave North Macedonia a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Scotland 19%. North Macedonia are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for North Macedonia vs Scotland?
1-0 (14.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (11.6%), 0-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Will both teams score in North Macedonia vs Scotland?
The probability that both North Macedonia and Scotland score is 44%. North Macedonia have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Scotland 20%.
How many goals should we expect in North Macedonia vs Scotland?
The model expects 2.38 goals (1.59 for North Macedonia, 0.79 for Scotland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.
When and where is North Macedonia vs Scotland played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, Skopje.
What form are North Macedonia and Scotland in?
North Macedonia: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (0 scored, 9 conceded). Scotland: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the North Macedonia vs Scotland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: North Macedonia 0-2 Scotland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for North Macedonia (56%), while victory for Scotland was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): correct.
How is the North Macedonia vs Scotland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for North Macedonia, 0.79 for Scotland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All North Macedonia predictions
- All Scotland predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology