UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Kosovo vs Austria: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Kosovo 1-1 Austria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kosovo (40%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.
Match analysis
Kosovo vs Austria was played on Sunday, October 4, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina. Before kick-off, our model gave Kosovo a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Austria 32%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.2%), ahead of 1-0 (12.6%) and 0-1 (10.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Kosovo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Austria have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Kosovo score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Austria score 2.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, Kosovo sit 2nd with 4 points from 3 games, Austria 1st with 7 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kosovo, 1 for Austria and 0 draws. The most recent ended Austria 3-1 Kosovo (Sep 27, 2026). In double chance terms, "Kosovo or draw" stands at 68%, "Austria or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Kosovo are favourites for this Kosovo v Austria, with a 40% win probability from our model. On recent form, Kosovo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Austria have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Kosovo – Austria. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kosovo 1-1 Austria | 13.2% |
| Kosovo 1-0 Austria | 12.6% |
| Kosovo 0-1 Austria | 10.8% |
| Kosovo 0-0 Austria | 10.3% |
| Kosovo 2-1 Austria | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.27 goals in total (1.22 for Kosovo, 1.05 for Austria): over 2.5 goals has a 40% probability and both teams to score 46%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Kosovo keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Austria in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Kosovo expected goals | 1.22 |
| Austria expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Kosovo clean sheet | 35% |
| Austria clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Kosovo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Israel · UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Austria · UEFA Nations League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Andorra · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Czechia · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
Austria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kosovo · UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Israel · UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Spain · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 3-3 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Austria | 1 | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Austria 3-1 Kosovo | UEFA Nations League |
Out and doubtful
Kosovo
No absences reported.
Austria
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Kosovo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Krasniqi5/5
- M. Vojvoda5/5
- D. Gallapeni4/5
- L. Avdullahu4/5
- A. Hajdari3/5
- A. Rrahmani3/5
- E. Krasniqi3/5
- F. Asllani3/5
- L. Dellova3/5
- A. Murić2/5
- B. Zabërgja2/5
Austria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- N. Seiwald5/5
- R. Schmid5/5
- X. Schlager5/5
- S. Posch4/5
- A. Schlager3/5
- K. Danso3/5
- P. Lienhart3/5
- P. Mwene3/5
- P. Wimmer3/5
- D. Affengruber2/5
- D. Alaba2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Spain 3-1 CzechiaOct 3, 2026
- Switzerland 2-1 SloveniaOct 3, 2026
- North Macedonia 0-2 ScotlandOct 3, 2026
- Azerbaijan 1-0 LithuaniaOct 4, 2026
- Malta 1-0 AndorraOct 4, 2026
- Portugal 2-1 NorwayOct 4, 2026
- Wales 0-1 DenmarkOct 4, 2026
- Greece 0-0 GermanyOct 4, 2026
- Ireland 1-1 IsraelOct 4, 2026
- Netherlands 2-1 SerbiaOct 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Kosovo vs Austria prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Kosovo a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Austria 32%. Kosovo are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Kosovo vs Austria?
1-1 (13.2%), followed by 1-0 (12.6%), 0-1 (10.8%), 0-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Kosovo vs Austria?
The probability that both Kosovo and Austria score is 46%. Kosovo have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Austria 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Kosovo vs Austria?
The model expects 2.27 goals (1.22 for Kosovo, 1.05 for Austria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Kosovo vs Austria played?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina.
What form are Kosovo and Austria in?
Kosovo: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Austria: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Kosovo and Austria?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kosovo, 1 for Austria and 0 draws. The most recent ended Austria 3-1 Kosovo (Sep 27, 2026).
What was the Kosovo vs Austria result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Kosovo 1-1 Austria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kosovo (40%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.2%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.
How is the Kosovo vs Austria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.22 for Kosovo, 1.05 for Austria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Kosovo predictions
- All Austria predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology