UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Kosovo vs Austria prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Kosovo take on Austria on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. The edge goes to Kosovo (56%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Austria win (20%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (13.2%), ahead of 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (11.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Kosovo have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Austria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Kosovo score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Austria score 1.80 and concede 2.00. In the table, Kosovo sit 2nd with 3 points from 1 games, Austria 1st with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kosovo and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Kosovo or draw" stands at 80%, "Austria or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Kosovo are favourites for this Kosovo v Austria, with a 56% win probability from our model. On recent form, Kosovo have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Austria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Kosovo – Austria. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Kosovo 1-0 Austria | 13.2% |
| Kosovo 1-1 Austria | 11.5% |
| Kosovo 2-0 Austria | 11.0% |
| Kosovo 2-1 Austria | 9.5% |
| Kosovo 0-0 Austria | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.53 goals in total (1.66 for Kosovo, 0.87 for Austria): over 2.5 goals has a 46% probability and both teams to score 47%. Kosovo keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Austria in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Kosovo expected goals | 1.66 |
| Austria expected goals | 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Kosovo clean sheet | 42% |
| Austria clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Kosovo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Andorra · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Czechia · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Türkiye · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Slovakia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 4-3 | W |
Austria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Israel · UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Spain · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 3-3 | D |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Jordan · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kosovo | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Austria | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Kosovo and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Kosovo
No absences reported.
Austria
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Kosovo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hajdari5/5
- D. Gallapeni5/5
- M. Vojvoda5/5
- F. Asllani4/5
- A. Muric3/5
- E. Rexhbecaj3/5
- I. Krasniqi3/5
- L. Avdullahu3/5
- L. Dellova3/5
- V. Hodza3/5
- V. Muriqi3/5
Austria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Schlager5/5
- N. Seiwald5/5
- R. Schmid5/5
- S. Posch5/5
- X. Schlager5/5
- D. Alaba4/5
- K. Laimer4/5
- M. Sabitzer4/5
- K. Danso3/5
- M. Gregoritsch3/5
- P. Lienhart3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Spain – CzechiaOct 3, 2026
- Switzerland – SloveniaOct 3, 2026
- North Macedonia – ScotlandOct 3, 2026
- Azerbaijan – LithuaniaOct 4, 2026
- Malta – AndorraOct 4, 2026
- Portugal – NorwayOct 4, 2026
- Wales – DenmarkOct 4, 2026
- Greece – GermanyOct 4, 2026
- Ireland – IsraelOct 4, 2026
- Netherlands – SerbiaOct 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Kosovo vs Austria prediction?
Our AI gives Kosovo a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austria 20%. Kosovo are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Kosovo vs Austria?
1-0 (13.2%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (11.0%), 2-1 (9.5%) and 0-0 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in Kosovo vs Austria?
The probability that both Kosovo and Austria score is 47%. Kosovo have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Austria 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Kosovo vs Austria?
The model expects 2.53 goals (1.66 for Kosovo, 0.87 for Austria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Kosovo vs Austria played?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Kosovo and Austria in?
Kosovo: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Austria: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded).
How is the Kosovo vs Austria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Kosovo, 0.87 for Austria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Kosovo predictions
- All Austria predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology