UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Spain vs Czechia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Spain vs Czechia kicks off on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). With a 77% win probability, Spain go in as strong favourites against Czechia (8%), with the draw rated at 15%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.6%), ahead of 3-0 (11.2%) and 1-0 (11.1%).
Spain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 1. Over their last 5 matches, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Spain. On average Spain score 1.80 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Czechia score 1.40 and concede 1.60. Over their recent games, Spain have averaged 2.04 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.77 for Czechia.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Spain and Czechia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Spain or draw" stands at 92%, "Czechia or draw" at 23% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Spain are tipped by our AI model in this Spain v Czechia (77%). On recent form, Spain are in good shape (5 wins in 5) while Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Spain – Czechia. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spain 2-0 Czechia | 13.6% |
| Spain 3-0 Czechia | 11.2% |
| Spain 1-0 Czechia | 11.1% |
| Spain 2-1 Czechia | 8.7% |
| Spain 3-1 Czechia | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.10 goals in total (2.46 for Spain, 0.64 for Czechia): over 2.5 goals has a 60% probability and both teams to score 43%. Everything points to an open game. Spain keep a clean sheet in 53% of scenarios, Czechia in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Spain expected goals | 2.46 |
| Czechia expected goals | 0.64 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Spain clean sheet | 53% |
| Czechia clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Spain
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 14, 2026 | France · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Belgium · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Portugal · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Austria · FIFA World Cup | 3-0 | W |
Czechia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 18, 2026 | South Africa · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | South Korea · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Guatemala · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Kosovo · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Spain and Czechia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Spain
No absences reported.
Czechia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Spain
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Lamine Yamal5/5
- Rodri5/5
- A. Baena4/5
- A. Laporte4/5
- D. Olmo4/5
- M. Cucurella4/5
- M. Oyarzabal4/5
- P. Cubarsi4/5
- P. Porro4/5
- U. Simon4/5
- F. Ruiz2/5
Czechia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Krejci5/5
- R. Hranac5/5
- M. Kovar4/5
- V. Coufal4/5
- A. Hlozek3/5
- A. Sojka3/5
- L. Cerv3/5
- M. Sadilek3/5
- P. Schick3/5
- P. Sulc3/5
- S. Chaloupek3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Spain vs Czechia prediction?
Our AI gives Spain a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Czechia 8%. Spain are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Spain vs Czechia?
2-0 (13.6%), followed by 3-0 (11.2%), 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in Spain vs Czechia?
The probability that both Spain and Czechia score is 43%. Spain have a 53% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Czechia 9%.
How many goals should we expect in Spain vs Czechia?
The model expects 3.10 goals (2.46 for Spain, 0.64 for Czechia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is Spain vs Czechia played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Spain and Czechia in?
Spain: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 1 conceded). Czechia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).
How is the Spain vs Czechia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.46 for Spain, 0.64 for Czechia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Spain predictions
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