Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
Internacional vs Corinthians prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Internacional take on Corinthians on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29 fixture. Venue: Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre. The edge goes to Internacional (45%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Corinthians win (31%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.5%), ahead of 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (9.0%).
Internacional have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Corinthians have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Internacional score 1.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Corinthians score 0.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Internacional sit 18th with 28 points from 28 games, Corinthians 14th with 32 points from 28. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Internacional have averaged 1.49 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.37 for Corinthians.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Internacional, 2 for Corinthians and 1 draw. The most recent ended Corinthians 2-1 Internacional (Aug 7, 2026). Internacional out or doubtful: B. Arhin, Calebe, Kayky, S. Rochet, Victor Gabriel (suspended) and R. Villagra (suspended). Corinthians: Andre Ramalho, Gabriel Paulista, Kayke, Z. Labyad and Yuri Alberto. In double chance terms, "Internacional or draw" stands at 69%, "Corinthians or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Internacional are tipped by our AI model in this Internacional v Corinthians (45%). On recent form, Internacional are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Corinthians are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Internacional – Corinthians. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Internacional 1-1 Corinthians | 11.5% |
| Internacional 2-1 Corinthians | 9.2% |
| Internacional 1-0 Corinthians | 9.0% |
| Internacional 1-2 Corinthians | 7.4% |
| Internacional 2-0 Corinthians | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.88 goals in total (1.60 for Internacional, 1.28 for Corinthians): over 2.5 goals has a 55% probability and both teams to score 58%. Internacional keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Corinthians in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Internacional expected goals | 1.60 |
| Corinthians expected goals | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 28% |
| Corinthians clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Internacional
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santos · Brasileirão Série A | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Gremio · Copa do Brasil | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bahia · Brasileirão Série A | 2-3 | L |
Corinthians
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 18 | 28 | 28 |
| Corinthians | 14 | 32 | 28 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Corinthians 2-1 Internacional | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Internacional 2-0 Corinthians | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Corinthians 0-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Internacional 1-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| May 3, 2025 | Corinthians 4-2 Internacional | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Internacional
- B. Arhin (out)
- Calebe (out)
- Kayky (out)
- S. Rochet (out)
- Victor Gabriel (suspended)
- R. Villagra (suspended)
Corinthians
- Andre Ramalho (out)
- Gabriel Paulista (out)
- Kayke (out)
- Z. Labyad (out)
- Yuri Alberto (out)
Most regular starters
Internacional
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Alan Patrick5/5
- Bruno Gomes4/5
- Bruno Henrique4/5
- G. Mercado4/5
- Matheus Bahia4/5
- Matheus Cunha4/5
- Vitinho4/5
- J. Carbonero3/5
- Thiago Maia3/5
- A. Bernabei2/5
- A. Bernabéi2/5
Corinthians
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gustavo Henrique4/5
- Hugo Souza4/5
- M. Depay4/5
- Matheus Bidu4/5
- Matheuzinho4/5
- R. Garro4/5
- A. Carrillo3/5
- Allan3/5
- Breno2/5
- Breno Bidon2/5
- Gabriel Paulista2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Remo – GremioOct 7, 2026
- RB Bragantino – MirassolOct 7, 2026
- Vitoria – Chapecoense-scOct 8, 2026
- Botafogo – Vasco DA GamaOct 8, 2026
- Cruzeiro – Sao PauloOct 8, 2026
- Santos – FlamengoOct 8, 2026
- Atletico Paranaense – Atletico-MGOct 9, 2026
- Fluminense – CoritibaOct 9, 2026
- Palmeiras – BahiaOct 9, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Internacional vs Corinthians prediction?
Our AI gives Internacional a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Corinthians 31%. Internacional are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Internacional vs Corinthians?
1-1 (11.5%), followed by 2-1 (9.2%), 1-0 (9.0%), 1-2 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in Internacional vs Corinthians?
The probability that both Internacional and Corinthians score is 58%. Internacional have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Corinthians 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Internacional vs Corinthians?
The model expects 2.88 goals (1.60 for Internacional, 1.28 for Corinthians). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Internacional vs Corinthians played?
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29. Venue: Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre.
What form are Internacional and Corinthians in?
Internacional: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded). Corinthians: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Corinthians?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Internacional, 2 for Corinthians and 1 draw. The most recent ended Corinthians 2-1 Internacional (Aug 7, 2026).
How is the Internacional vs Corinthians prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.60 for Internacional, 1.28 for Corinthians) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Internacional predictions
- All Corinthians predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology