Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
Internacional vs Corinthians: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Internacional 2-1 Corinthians. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Internacional was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (27%): missed.
Match analysis
Internacional vs Corinthians was played on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 (Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29). Venue: Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre. Before kick-off, our model gave Internacional a 40% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Corinthians 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (16.7%), ahead of 0-0 (16.5%) and 1-1 (13.2%).
Internacional have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Corinthians have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Internacional score 1.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Corinthians score 0.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Internacional sit 18th with 28 points from 28 games, Corinthians 14th with 32 points from 28. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Internacional have averaged 1.49 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.37 for Corinthians.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Internacional, 2 for Corinthians and 1 draw. The most recent ended Corinthians 2-1 Internacional (Aug 7, 2026). Internacional out or doubtful: Kayky, Matheus Bahia, S. Rochet, A. Sanabria, F. Torres, Victor Gabriel (suspended) and Calebe (doubtful). Corinthians: A. Carrillo, Dieguinho, Joao Pedro, Kayke, Z. Labyad and Andre Ramalho (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Internacional or draw" stands at 72%, "Corinthians or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 67%.
In short : Internacional are tipped by our AI model in this Internacional v Corinthians (40%). On recent form, Internacional are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Corinthians are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Internacional – Corinthians. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Internacional 1-0 Corinthians | 16.7% |
| Internacional 0-0 Corinthians | 16.5% |
| Internacional 1-1 Corinthians | 13.2% |
| Internacional 0-1 Corinthians | 13.1% |
| Internacional 2-0 Corinthians | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.80 goals in total (1.01 for Internacional, 0.79 for Corinthians): over 2.5 goals has a 27% probability and both teams to score 35%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Internacional keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Corinthians in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Internacional expected goals | 1.01 |
| Corinthians expected goals | 0.79 |
| Both teams to score | 35% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 45% |
| Corinthians clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Internacional
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Santos · Brasileirão Série A | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Gremio · Copa do Brasil | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Bahia · Brasileirão Série A | 2-3 | L |
Corinthians
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P. · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 18 | 28 | 28 |
| Corinthians | 14 | 32 | 28 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Corinthians 2-1 Internacional | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Internacional 2-0 Corinthians | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Corinthians 0-1 Internacional | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Internacional 1-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| May 3, 2025 | Corinthians 4-2 Internacional | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Internacional
- Kayky (out)
- Matheus Bahia (out)
- S. Rochet (out)
- A. Sanabria (out)
- F. Torres (out)
- Victor Gabriel (suspended)
- Calebe (doubtful)
Corinthians
- A. Carrillo (out)
- Dieguinho (out)
- Joao Pedro (out)
- Kayke (out)
- Z. Labyad (out)
- Andre Ramalho (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Internacional
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Alan Patrick5/5
- Bruno Gomes4/5
- Bruno Henrique4/5
- G. Mercado4/5
- Matheus Bahia4/5
- Matheus Cunha4/5
- Vitinho4/5
- J. Carbonero3/5
- Thiago Maia3/5
- A. Bernabei2/5
- A. Bernabéi2/5
Corinthians
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gustavo Henrique4/5
- Hugo Souza4/5
- M. Depay4/5
- Matheus Bidu4/5
- Matheuzinho4/5
- R. Garro4/5
- A. Carrillo3/5
- Allan3/5
- Breno2/5
- Breno Bidon2/5
- Gabriel Paulista2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Remo 1-1 GremioOct 7, 2026
- RB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolOct 7, 2026
- Vitoria 4-0 Chapecoense-scOct 8, 2026
- Botafogo 1-2 Vasco DA GamaOct 8, 2026
- Cruzeiro 2-0 Sao PauloOct 8, 2026
- Santos 2-2 FlamengoOct 8, 2026
- Atletico Paranaense 2-2 Atletico-MGOct 9, 2026
- Fluminense 4-0 CoritibaOct 9, 2026
- Palmeiras 1-0 BahiaOct 9, 2026
- Vasco DA Gama 0-0 RemoOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Internacional vs Corinthians prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Internacional a 40% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Corinthians 28%. Internacional are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Internacional vs Corinthians?
1-0 (16.7%), followed by 0-0 (16.5%), 1-1 (13.2%), 0-1 (13.1%) and 2-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Internacional vs Corinthians?
The probability that both Internacional and Corinthians score is 35%. Internacional have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Corinthians 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Internacional vs Corinthians?
The model expects 1.80 goals (1.01 for Internacional, 0.79 for Corinthians). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 54%, over 2.5 goals 27%, over 3.5 goals 11%.
When and where is Internacional vs Corinthians played?
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29. Venue: Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre.
What form are Internacional and Corinthians in?
Internacional: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded). Corinthians: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Corinthians?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Internacional, 2 for Corinthians and 1 draw. The most recent ended Corinthians 2-1 Internacional (Aug 7, 2026).
What was the Internacional vs Corinthians result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Internacional 2-1 Corinthians. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Internacional was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (27%): missed.
How is the Internacional vs Corinthians prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.01 for Internacional, 0.79 for Corinthians) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Internacional predictions
- All Corinthians predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology