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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Vasco DA Gama vs Remo prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Vasco DA Gama take on Remo on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 30 fixture. Venue: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro. Vasco DA Gama start as favourites with a 48% chance of victory; Remo are given 25% and the draw 27%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.7%) and 0-0 (10.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Vasco DA Gama have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Remo have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 10. Vasco DA Gama therefore arrive in far better shape than Remo. On average Vasco DA Gama score 1.80 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Remo score 1.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, Vasco DA Gama sit 16th with 31 points from 27 games, Remo 19th with 23 points from 28. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Vasco DA Gama have averaged 0.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.35 for Remo.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vasco DA Gama, 0 for Remo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Remo 1-1 Vasco DA Gama (Apr 11, 2026). Vasco DA Gama out or doubtful: Brenner, Mateus Carvalho and Tche Tche (suspended). Remo: Jaja, Joao Lucas, Matheus Felipe (suspended), Mayk, Patrick and Ze Ivaldo. In double chance terms, "Vasco DA Gama or draw" stands at 75%, "Remo or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : Vasco DA Gama are tipped by our AI model in this Vasco DA Gama v Remo (48%). On recent form, Vasco DA Gama have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Remo are struggling (5 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Vasco DA Gama (Win)
27%
Draw
25%
Remo (Win)

Double chance

75%
Vasco DA Gama or draw
52%
Remo or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Vasco DA Gama – Remo. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Remo13.8%
Vasco DA Gama 1-1 Remo12.7%
Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Remo10.0%
Vasco DA Gama 2-0 Remo9.5%
Vasco DA Gama 0-1 Remo9.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.38 expected goals for Vasco DA Gama and 0.92 for Remo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 40% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Few goals are expected here. Vasco DA Gama keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Remo in 25%.

Probability
Vasco DA Gama expected goals1.38
Remo expected goals0.92
Both teams to score45%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet40%
Remo clean sheet25%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Vasco DA Gama

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A5-0W
Sep 15, 2026Santa Fe · CONMEBOL Sudamericana2-0W
Sep 12, 2026Gremio · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 8, 2026Santa Fe · CONMEBOL Sudamericana0-0D
Sep 6, 2026Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A0-1L

Remo

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Santos · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 6, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A0-1L
Sep 1, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A2-3L
Aug 22, 2026Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Vasco DA Gama163127
Remo192328

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Remo 1-1 Vasco DA GamaBrasileirão Série A

Out and doubtful

Vasco DA Gama

  • Brenner (out)
  • Mateus Carvalho (out)
  • Tche Tche (suspended)

Remo

  • Jaja (out)
  • Joao Lucas (out)
  • Matheus Felipe (suspended)
  • Mayk (out)
  • Patrick (out)
  • Ze Ivaldo (out)

Most regular starters

Vasco DA Gama

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Robert Renan4/5
  • S. Sosa4/5
  • A. Saldivia3/5
  • Bruno Duarte3/5
  • F. Colidio3/5
  • Leo Jardim3/5
  • Lucas Piton3/5
  • Paulo Henrique3/5
  • Thiago Mendes3/5
  • A. Gomez2/5
  • Adson2/5

Remo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Tchamba5/5
  • Marcelo Rangel5/5
  • Marlon5/5
  • A. Galeano4/5
  • Gabriel Taliari4/5
  • L. Picco4/5
  • Marcelinho4/5
  • Marllon4/5
  • Yago Pikachu4/5
  • Ze Ricardo4/5
  • Jaja2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Vasco DA Gama vs Remo prediction?

Our AI gives Vasco DA Gama a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Remo 25%. Vasco DA Gama are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Vasco DA Gama vs Remo?

1-0 (13.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.7%), 0-0 (10.0%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Will both teams score in Vasco DA Gama vs Remo?

The probability that both Vasco DA Gama and Remo score is 45%. Vasco DA Gama have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Remo 25%.

How many goals should we expect in Vasco DA Gama vs Remo?

The model expects 2.30 goals (1.38 for Vasco DA Gama, 0.92 for Remo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.

When and where is Vasco DA Gama vs Remo played?

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 30. Venue: São Januário, Rio de Janeiro.

What form are Vasco DA Gama and Remo in?

Vasco DA Gama: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 2 conceded). Remo: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Remo?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vasco DA Gama, 0 for Remo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Remo 1-1 Vasco DA Gama (Apr 11, 2026).

How is the Vasco DA Gama vs Remo prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.38 for Vasco DA Gama, 0.92 for Remo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained