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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

RB Bragantino vs Mirassol prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

RB Bragantino take on Mirassol on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29 fixture. Venue: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza. Our model makes RB Bragantino clear favourites: a 60% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 18% for Mirassol. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (10.8%), followed by 2-0 (10.5%) and 1-1 (10.3%).

RB Bragantino have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Mirassol have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Mirassol therefore arrive in far better shape than RB Bragantino. On average RB Bragantino score 1.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Mirassol score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, RB Bragantino sit 10th with 36 points from 27 games, Mirassol 15th with 32 points from 28. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, RB Bragantino have averaged 1.66 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.10 for Mirassol.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for RB Bragantino, 1 for Mirassol and 3 draws. The most recent ended Mirassol 2-1 RB Bragantino (May 14, 2026). RB Bragantino out or doubtful: Davi Gomes, Juninho Capixaba (suspended) and Wallace Yan (suspended). Mirassol: Alesson (suspended), Jose Aldo and Negueba. In double chance terms, "RB Bragantino or draw" stands at 82%, "Mirassol or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : RB Bragantino are tipped by our AI model in this RB Bragantino v Mirassol (60%). On recent form, RB Bragantino have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Mirassol have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

60%
RB Bragantino (Win)
22%
Draw
18%
Mirassol (Win)

Double chance

82%
RB Bragantino or draw
40%
Mirassol or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as RB Bragantino – Mirassol. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
RB Bragantino 1-0 Mirassol10.8%
RB Bragantino 2-0 Mirassol10.5%
RB Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol10.3%
RB Bragantino 2-1 Mirassol9.9%
RB Bragantino 3-0 Mirassol6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.93 expected goals for RB Bragantino and 0.95 for Mirassol, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 52%. RB Bragantino keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Mirassol in 15%.

Probability
RB Bragantino expected goals1.93
Mirassol expected goals0.95
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
RB Bragantino clean sheet39%
Mirassol clean sheet15%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

RB Bragantino

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 13, 2026Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A1-1D
Sep 5, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A2-3L
Aug 30, 2026Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Aug 23, 2026Gremio · Brasileirão Série A1-0W

Mirassol

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A2-0W
Sep 13, 2026Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A2-2D
Sep 6, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A2-1W
Sep 2, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A0-2L
Aug 30, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
RB Bragantino103627
Mirassol153228

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 14, 2026Mirassol 2-1 RB BragantinoCopa Do Brasil
Apr 23, 2026RB Bragantino 1-1 MirassolCopa Do Brasil
Apr 6, 2026Mirassol 0-1 RB BragantinoSerie A
Jan 21, 2026Mirassol 0-0 RB BragantinoPaulista - A1
Oct 1, 2025Mirassol 1-1 RB BragantinoSerie A

Out and doubtful

RB Bragantino

  • Davi Gomes (out)
  • Juninho Capixaba (suspended)
  • Wallace Yan (suspended)

Mirassol

  • Alesson (suspended)
  • Jose Aldo (out)
  • Negueba (out)

Most regular starters

RB Bragantino

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Gustavo Marques5/5
  • Lucas Barbosa5/5
  • Tiago Volpi5/5
  • Eric Ramires4/5
  • I. Pitta4/5
  • Juninho Capixaba4/5
  • Rodriguinho4/5
  • A. Sant'Anna3/5
  • Fabinho3/5
  • J. Herrera3/5
  • Fernando Santos2/5

Mirassol

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Igor Formiga5/5
  • Reinaldo5/5
  • Willian Machado5/5
  • Bruno Santos4/5
  • Denilson4/5
  • Eduardo4/5
  • Alesson3/5
  • Gustavo Silva3/5
  • Joao Victor3/5
  • Walter3/5
  • Alex Muralha2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the RB Bragantino vs Mirassol prediction?

Our AI gives RB Bragantino a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mirassol 18%. RB Bragantino are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for RB Bragantino vs Mirassol?

1-0 (10.8%), followed by 2-0 (10.5%), 1-1 (10.3%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 3-0 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in RB Bragantino vs Mirassol?

The probability that both RB Bragantino and Mirassol score is 52%. RB Bragantino have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Mirassol 15%.

How many goals should we expect in RB Bragantino vs Mirassol?

The model expects 2.88 goals (1.93 for RB Bragantino, 0.95 for Mirassol). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.

When and where is RB Bragantino vs Mirassol played?

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29. Venue: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza.

What form are RB Bragantino and Mirassol in?

RB Bragantino: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded). Mirassol: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between RB Bragantino and Mirassol?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for RB Bragantino, 1 for Mirassol and 3 draws. The most recent ended Mirassol 2-1 RB Bragantino (May 14, 2026).

How is the RB Bragantino vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.93 for RB Bragantino, 0.95 for Mirassol) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained