Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Thursday, October 8, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc prediction: correct score and AI tips

Vitoria–Chapecoense-sc

Match analysis

Vitoria take on Chapecoense-sc on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29 fixture. Venue: Barradao, Salvador. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Vitoria 43%, Chapecoense-sc 32% and the draw 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), ahead of 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (9.0%).

Vitoria have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Chapecoense-sc have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Vitoria score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Chapecoense-sc score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Vitoria sit 13th with 33 points from 28 games, Chapecoense-sc 20th with 18 points from 27. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Vitoria have averaged 1.14 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.73 for Chapecoense-sc.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Vitoria, 0 for Chapecoense-sc and 1 draw. The most recent ended Chapecoense-sc 1-1 Vitoria (Apr 5, 2026). Vitoria out or doubtful: Anderson, Baralhas, Camutanga, Dudu, Edu, Fabiano, Nathan Mendes and Ramon. Chapecoense-sc: Bruno Tubarao, Heitor, Joao Paulo (suspended), Max Alves, Rafael Carvalheira, Robert Conceicao and Vinicius Balieiro. In double chance terms, "Vitoria or draw" stands at 68%, "Chapecoense-sc or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Vitoria to edge Chapecoense-sc (43% probability). On recent form, Vitoria have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Chapecoense-sc have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 57%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

Double chance

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Vitoria – Chapecoense-sc. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.82 goals in total (1.53 for Vitoria, 1.29 for Chapecoense-sc): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 57%. Vitoria keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Chapecoense-sc in 22%.

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Standings before the match

Head-to-head

Out and doubtful

Most regular starters

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Frequently asked questions

Go further

• All Vitoria predictions
• All Chapecoense-sc predictions
• Brasileirão Série A predictions
• Today’s predictions
• Our methodology

Key terms explained

• Correct score
• 1X2 (match result)
• Double chance
• BTTS (both teams to score)
• Over/Under (total goals)
• Poisson distribution
• Recent form
• xG (Expected Goals)
• Head-to-head (H2H)