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Brasileirão Série ABrasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

Remo vs Gremio prediction: correct score and AI tips

RemoRemo–GremioGremio

Match analysis

Remo take on Gremio on Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29 fixture. Venue: Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem. Remo start as favourites with a 54% chance of victory; Gremio are given 17% and the draw 29%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (19.5%), followed by 0-0 (15.1%) and 2-0 (12.6%).

Remo have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 10. Gremio have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Gremio therefore arrive in far better shape than Remo. On average Remo score 1.00 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Gremio score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Remo sit 19th with 23 points from 28 games, Gremio 17th with 29 points from 28. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Remo have averaged 1.35 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.57 for Gremio.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Remo, 0 for Gremio and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gremio 0-0 Remo (Apr 6, 2026). Remo out or doubtful: Jaja, Joao Lucas, Matheus Felipe (suspended), Mayk, Patrick and Ze Ivaldo. Gremio: Caio Paulista, Diego Caito, Dodi and Marlon. In double chance terms, "Remo or draw" stands at 83%, "Gremio or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 71%.

In short : Remo are tipped by our AI model in this Remo v Gremio (54%). In the table, Remo (19th, 23 pts) host Gremio (17th, 29 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

54%
Remo (Win)
29%
Draw
17%
Gremio (Win)

Double chance

83%
Remo or draw
46%
Gremio or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Remo – Gremio. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (19.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Remo 1-0 Gremio19.5%
Remo 0-0 Gremio15.1%
Remo 2-0 Gremio12.6%
Remo 1-1 Gremio11.7%
Remo 0-1 Gremio9.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.29 expected goals for Remo and 0.60 for Gremio, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 29% and "both teams to score" at 33%. Few goals are expected here. Remo keep a clean sheet in 55% of scenarios, Gremio in 28%.

Probability
Remo expected goals1.29
Gremio expected goals0.60
Both teams to score33%
Over 1.5 goals56%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Remo clean sheet55%
Gremio clean sheet28%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Remo

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Santos · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Bahia · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 6, 2026Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A0-1L
Sep 1, 2026Coritiba · Brasileirão Série A2-3L
Aug 22, 2026Fluminense · Brasileirão Série A1-2L

Gremio

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Palmeiras · Brasileirão Série A0-0D
Sep 16, 2026Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A2-3L
Sep 12, 2026Vasco DA Gama · Brasileirão Série A1-2L
Sep 8, 2026Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A0-1L
Sep 4, 2026Internacional · Copa do Brasil3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Remo192328
Gremio172928

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Gremio 0-0 RemoBrasileirão Série A

Out and doubtful

Remo

  • Jaja (out)
  • Joao Lucas (out)
  • Matheus Felipe (suspended)
  • Mayk (out)
  • Patrick (out)
  • Ze Ivaldo (out)

Gremio

  • Caio Paulista (out)
  • Diego Caito (out)
  • Dodi (out)
  • Marlon (out)

Most regular starters

Remo

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Tchamba5/5
  • Marcelo Rangel5/5
  • Marlon5/5
  • A. Galeano4/5
  • Gabriel Taliari4/5
  • L. Picco4/5
  • Marcelinho4/5
  • Marllon4/5
  • Yago Pikachu4/5
  • Ze Ricardo4/5
  • Jaja2/5

Gremio

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Noriega5/5
  • M. Villasanti5/5
  • Wallace5/5
  • Weverton5/5
  • Diego Caito4/5
  • Carlos Vinicius3/5
  • F. Krovinovic3/5
  • Gustavo Martins3/5
  • Pedro Gabriel3/5
  • C. Pavon2/5
  • C. Pavón2/5

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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Remo vs Gremio prediction?

Our AI gives Remo a 54% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Gremio 17%. Remo are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Remo vs Gremio?

1-0 (19.5%), followed by 0-0 (15.1%), 2-0 (12.6%), 1-1 (11.7%) and 0-1 (9.1%).

Will both teams score in Remo vs Gremio?

The probability that both Remo and Gremio score is 33%. Remo have a 55% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Gremio 28%.

How many goals should we expect in Remo vs Gremio?

The model expects 1.89 goals (1.29 for Remo, 0.60 for Gremio). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 56%, over 2.5 goals 29%, over 3.5 goals 12%.

When and where is Remo vs Gremio played?

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 29. Venue: Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem.

What form are Remo and Gremio in?

Remo: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded). Gremio: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Remo and Gremio?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Remo, 0 for Gremio and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gremio 0-0 Remo (Apr 6, 2026).

How is the Remo vs Gremio prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.29 for Remo, 0.60 for Gremio) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained