Brasileirão Série A· Kick-off : Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 01:00 (UK time)
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: 4-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: RB Bragantino 4-2 Cruzeiro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cruzeiro (76%), while victory for RB Bragantino was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (71%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (85%): correct.
Match analysis
RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro met on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, a Brasileirão Série A, matchday 30 fixture. Venue: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza. Before kick-off, our model gave RB Bragantino a 11% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Cruzeiro 76%. On the correct score, 1-3 comes out on top (7.7%), followed by 1-2 (6.9%) and 1-4 (6.5%).
RB Bragantino have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Cruzeiro have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Cruzeiro therefore arrive in far better shape than RB Bragantino. On average RB Bragantino score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Cruzeiro score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, RB Bragantino sit 11th with 37 points from 29 games, Cruzeiro 6th with 48 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, RB Bragantino have averaged 1.46 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.07 for Cruzeiro.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for RB Bragantino, 2 for Cruzeiro and 2 draws. The most recent ended Cruzeiro 2-1 RB Bragantino (Apr 12, 2026). RB Bragantino out or doubtful: Alix Vinicius, Davi Gomes, A. Hurtado (doubtful), Rodriguinho (doubtful) and I. Sosa (suspended). Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno, Gabriel Pec, Kenji (doubtful), L. Sinisterra and N. Villarreal (doubtful). In double chance terms, "RB Bragantino or draw" stands at 24%, "Cruzeiro or draw" at 89% and "no draw" at 87%.
In short : Cruzeiro are favourites for this RB Bragantino v Cruzeiro, with a 76% win probability from our model. In the table, RB Bragantino (11th, 37 pts) host Cruzeiro (6th, 48 pts). One to watch: RB Bragantino will be without Alix Vinicius and Davi Gomes.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as RB Bragantino – Cruzeiro. 1-3 is the single most likely scoreline (7.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 32% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| RB Bragantino 1-3 Cruzeiro | 7.7% |
| RB Bragantino 1-2 Cruzeiro | 6.9% |
| RB Bragantino 1-4 Cruzeiro | 6.5% |
| RB Bragantino 0-3 Cruzeiro | 5.8% |
| RB Bragantino 0-2 Cruzeiro | 5.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.33 expected goals for RB Bragantino and 3.36 for Cruzeiro, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 85% and "both teams to score" at 71%. Goals look likely in this one. RB Bragantino keep a clean sheet in 4% of scenarios, Cruzeiro in 26%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| RB Bragantino expected goals | 1.33 |
| Cruzeiro expected goals | 3.36 |
| Both teams to score | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 69% |
| RB Bragantino clean sheet | 4% |
| Cruzeiro clean sheet | 26% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
RB Bragantino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Mirassol · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atletico-MG · Brasileirão Série A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flamengo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botafogo · Brasileirão Série A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bahia · Brasileirão Série A | 2-3 | L |
Cruzeiro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Sao Paulo · Brasileirão Série A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vitoria · Brasileirão Série A | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santos · Brasileirão Série A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense · Brasileirão Série A | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 11 | 37 | 29 |
| Cruzeiro | 6 | 48 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cruzeiro 2-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Cruzeiro 2-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Apr 21, 2025 | RB Bragantino 1-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Mar 22, 2025 | RB Bragantino 1-1 Cruzeiro | Club Friendlies |
| Dec 1, 2024 | RB Bragantino 1-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
RB Bragantino
- Alix Vinicius (out)
- Davi Gomes (out)
- A. Hurtado (doubtful)
- Rodriguinho (doubtful)
- I. Sosa (suspended)
Cruzeiro
- Fabricio Bruno (out)
- Gabriel Pec (out)
- Kenji (doubtful)
- L. Sinisterra (out)
- N. Villarreal (doubtful)
Most regular starters
RB Bragantino
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Gustavo Marques5/5
- Tiago Volpi5/5
- Eric Ramires4/5
- Fabinho4/5
- Juninho Capixaba4/5
- Lucas Barbosa4/5
- Fernando3/5
- Wallace Yan3/5
- A. Sant'Anna2/5
- Alix Vinicius2/5
- Eduardo Sasha2/5
Cruzeiro
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- Gerson4/4
- João Marcelo4/4
- Kaio Jorge4/4
- Matheus Pereira4/4
- Fagner3/4
- Gabriel Rojas3/4
- Keny Arroyo3/4
- Otávio Costa3/4
- Fabrício Bruno2/4
- Lucas Romero2/4
- Matheus Henrique2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Vasco DA Gama 0-0 RemoOct 10, 2026
- Sao Paulo 2-1 VitoriaOct 11, 2026
- Atletico-MG 2-1 SantosOct 11, 2026
- Flamengo 1-0 FluminenseOct 11, 2026
- Gremio 1-1 InternacionalOct 11, 2026
- Palmeiras 4-1 CorinthiansOct 11, 2026
- Bahia 1-0 MirassolOct 11, 2026
- Coritiba 1-1 BotafogoOct 12, 2026
- Chapecoense-sc 1-4 Atletico ParanaenseOct 12, 2026
- Mirassol 2-0 InternacionalOct 17, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave RB Bragantino a 11% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Cruzeiro 76%. Cruzeiro are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-2.
What is the most likely correct score for RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
1-3 (7.7%), followed by 1-2 (6.9%), 1-4 (6.5%), 0-3 (5.8%) and 0-2 (5.2%).
Will both teams score in RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
The probability that both RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro score is 71%. RB Bragantino have a 4% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cruzeiro 26%.
How many goals should we expect in RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
The model expects 4.69 goals (1.33 for RB Bragantino, 3.36 for Cruzeiro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 69%.
When and where is RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro played?
Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série A, matchday 30. Venue: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza.
What form are RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro in?
RB Bragantino: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Cruzeiro: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between RB Bragantino and Cruzeiro?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for RB Bragantino, 2 for Cruzeiro and 2 draws. The most recent ended Cruzeiro 2-1 RB Bragantino (Apr 12, 2026).
What was the RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: RB Bragantino 4-2 Cruzeiro. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cruzeiro (76%), while victory for RB Bragantino was rated at only 11%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (71%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (85%): correct.
How is the RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.33 for RB Bragantino, 3.36 for Cruzeiro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All RB Bragantino predictions
- All Cruzeiro predictions
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology